Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 252.710798 284.995461 320.818076 363.691221 413.838487 470.916711 541.196865
2025-05-11 199.549133 240.593266 290.097413 354.878068 438.415536 543.903099 689.438553
2025-05-18 170.572945 214.466140 270.292616 347.740906 454.396611 599.155404 815.937429
2025-05-25 156.295381 203.562735 266.450782 358.222775 492.172308 686.273135 1000.079091
2025-06-01 141.615160 189.695802 256.024433 356.904337 511.456255 748.237124 1157.524656
2025-06-08 128.182347 175.751732 243.391611 349.936956 520.122868 793.908301 1296.443269
2025-06-15 118.987214 166.723330 236.552525 350.266930 539.344781 858.416702 1480.318491
2025-06-22 109.200049 155.794126 225.587248 342.483705 543.649847 897.530039 1625.031025
2025-06-29 102.302927 148.538327 219.418428 341.480257 558.881926 957.799189 1824.373661
2025-07-06 93.521434 137.624417 206.451349 327.560075 549.157178 969.628284 1924.674345
2025-07-13 91.146687 136.552697 209.124581 340.597432 590.182169 1086.258402 2286.260382
2025-07-20 89.178382 135.923840 212.380283 354.888447 635.459742 1219.762064 2727.730443
2025-07-27 84.772056 131.078626 208.297639 355.738528 655.227041 1304.762332 3080.415595
2025-08-03 79.178389 123.862078 199.556128 346.966788 654.226226 1343.664786 3323.344856
2025-08-10 74.422912 117.727964 192.204594 340.043700 656.067990 1389.407756 3601.836366
2025-08-17 72.595847 116.502664 193.509484 350.237758 696.605905 1537.317471 4250.786858
2025-08-24 69.318789 112.492075 189.377145 348.955586 711.056036 1622.299423 4731.116830
2025-08-31 65.593599 107.439997 182.917990 342.178253 711.731630 1670.993392 5105.958989
2025-09-07 63.058178 104.372442 179.970800 342.499247 729.426197 1770.496984 5717.656892
2025-09-14 59.766888 99.723828 173.655259 334.927377 726.641614 1810.961633 6115.824825
2025-09-21 57.476492 96.793829 170.480102 333.951100 740.423702 1903.990897 6786.434220
2025-09-28 53.951601 91.365475 162.028961 320.405944 719.888971 1887.338705 6958.830099
2025-10-05 53.466362 91.647552 164.987158 333.092163 770.743141 2110.254920 8407.845677